Monday, January 12, 2015

Improving Dallas ISD: Four Changes

Four changes would massively improve Dallas ISD to the benefit of our entire city:

1) transparency, to drive and monitor all other changes,
2) parental Involvement to affirm and drive goals,
3) more developmentally appropriate grade configurations with k-8 schools, and
4) public discussions regarding the research surrounding planned changes within DISD, before the changes.

All four steps are present now inside DISD to some extent, but three of the four, transparency, parental involvement, and dedication to research, conflict with what appears to be the emerging administrative philosophy in DISD. 

The only progress is in the area of developmentally appropriate grade configuration, but it is far too little as k-8 schools are developing exceptionally slowly.  That progress is ONLY due to parents who are getting actively involved in long term planning and not waiting for an invitation from DISD administration. 

Here are details about the four changes needed.


1) Transparency

The old cowboy insult of “all hat and no cattle” is an all too accurate description of educational history in Texas. In 2000 such bragging became so bold that Houston actually claimed "zero dropout rates."  The Houston reality was that far less than 50% of any 9th grade enrollment were receiving diplomas within 4 years.  The dropout rate was very far from zero, thus "no cattle!"

While many school districts are slowly moving away from such “all hat and no cattle” claims, TEA recently made some of the boldest "all hat and no cattle" claims in the history of school accountability in Texas!  TEA claimed current graduation rates that amounted to placing Texas among the group of states having the 4th highest graduation rates in the nation!  Fortunately business leaders in Texas, as well as academic leaders, were vigilant and publically challenged TEA on these misleading and less than truthful graduation rates.

The Texas education system in general is now ranked as 39th in the nation according to reports made this week.  The Texas Legislature has no influence over such rankings as they do over the TEA.

In spite of what TEA is trying to do, absolute transparency is slowly being understood as the best alternative. Texas has led the way with the raw data about our schools and our students being placed online and annually updated at http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/adhocrpt/Standard_Reports.html.  Almost all the reports posted in this blog come from that web site.

With more such transparency Dallas was making more very real progress through 2012 than at any time in the past 20 years!  Then the progress stopped. Admitting and sharing the painful truths in our public schools is the only way to have a strong foundation for progress.

The most accurate, easy to audit measurements for a credible transparency are the number of students who enroll each year in each grade, combined with the number who graduate annually, and how many of those annual graduates are ready for college. Simple spreadsheets for each school and school district should include enrollment by grade and year, covering 10 years or more of such annual enrollments.  Each year’s numbers should include graduation numbers and percentages of those graduates who are college ready.  It would quickly show if progress is happening.

The Internet allows the accumulation and availability of such data to explode. Dallas ISD is constantly taking advantage of that availability with results that are improving, and constantly need to improve. DISD does not yet have such a multi-year spreadsheet online and in a prominent place on the DISD web site.  Such a spreadsheet could look like this chart:
In such a spreadsheet cells for the measurements could be colored gray, like those above, when measurements are getting worse, and left clear when there is progress.  See how clearly the 5 years of record progress are outlined above.

Such a prominent spreadsheet on the DISD web site would make Dallas a national leader in educational transparency. No other major US City has such longitudinal, multi-year, transparency. Dallas ISD can lead the way!

Such a lack of more complete transparency also hides good news.

Significantly positive changes within DISD started in 2007, but received no publicity. Those positive changes happened when the 9th grade bubble began to disappear. The 9th grade bubble is caused when the 9th grade is larger than the 8th grade the year before. That is caused by large numbers of 9th grade students failing and repeating the 9th grade. Too many middle school students were not prepared for the 9th grade. As they fail the 9th grade enrollment grows due to students repeating the 9th grade two or more times.

From 1996 through 2006 the average 9th grade enrollment in Dallas ISD was 33% larger than the 8th grade enrollment due to such failures. For the decade between 1996/1997 to 2005/2006 the average 8th grade enrollment was just over 11,025, and the average 9th grade enrollment was 14,727.
That 33% 9th grade bubble began to disappear in 2006.   The difference between the 8th and 9th grade enrollment had dropped to only 8.5% for the Class of 2012.  Sadly some of that progress has been lost and now for the Class of 2014 that difference is up again to 10%, still much better than 33%, but a step back.

The 9th grade shrinking means more students began passing on to the 10th grade. Upper grade enrollment broke records and finally the Class of 2013 was the largest graduation class for DISD since 1981 with the highest percentage of 9th grade enrollment represented in the graduation class since 1984!  (See enrollment by grade numbers going back to 1996/97 in the chart above. )
Good things were happening in DISD!   We must go back to the progress that led to the Class of 2013.  Sadly the Class of 2014 was over 400 students smaller than the Class of 2013, the first drop in senior graduation class size in 7 years and the greatest drop in decades!  We must return to the progress that was happening! More complete transparency will expose all sides of DISD, the good and the bad.
 

2) Parental Involvement!
Sunset High School Progress in Dallas ISD
Right-click on above image to enlarge and/or print.
Parental involvement is the foundation for any cultural change within DISD. A project that has evolved to center on parents was started several years ago in one Dallas ISD middle school. This School Archive Project started as a focus by students on their own futures in letters they write to themselves for a time-capsule. Then in 2009 the most critical component was added: letters by parents to their child about their own dreams for their child. It is reinforcing parental involvement as never before.

Now entering middle school students start the year receiving a letter from their parents about their parental dreams for them in life. Yes, those dreams include education. These new students bring these letters to their Language Arts Class. They spend a week writing a letter to themselves about their own history and goals for themselves in middle school. Then both letters are placed into a self-addressed envelope and into the 500-pound vault bolted to the floor in the school lobby.

This vault is in a prominent place and under spotlights. Students pass it several times a day. At times they may be reminded of what their parent's letter says that is inside the vault. Imagine the conversations that the writing of these letters may have provoked between parent and child. This helps to make such priceless, private conversations more common. It documents them and saves them for history.

The last month of middle school this almost three year old letter is returned to students and to their parents. Everyone sees how things have changed since these letters were written. Parents and students write new letters, this time looking 10-years into the future. This time the letters are placed into the vault for the next decade. Photos are made on the day the letters are placed into the vault. Students and parents receive copies of those photos with details on the back for the 10-year class reunion. Everyone is reminded that at that 10-year reunion the returning students will be asked to speak with decade younger students in the school about their recommendations for success. They are warned to prepare for questions such as "What would you do differently if you were 13 again?"

This School Archive Project started in 2005. The graduation rate for Sunset High School, Class of 2006, was below 33%. Sunset received most of these students. Their graduation rate slowly started to rise due to this project, and many other positive changes in the high school including a dynamic principal. In 2009 they installed their own vault at Sunset, and that same year the other middle school feeding into Sunset installed their own vault. The graduation rate for the Class of 2011 was 62%. It is expected to be near 66% for the Class of 2012. It will probably be 70% or better for the Class of 2013. No other high school in Dallas has improved even half as many percentage points over the same period as Sunset!

The many changes at Sunset made a very real difference. But Sunset is the only high school that has almost all incoming students already exposed to the School Archive Project before they arrive, and ready to do it again. That difference may be what has helped to make
Sunset the most improved graduation rate high school in all of DISD for the past decade.It is the power of personal letters focused on history and the future, placed in a secure location of respect usually reserved for diamonds, gold, and money. It's a message about the value of history, the passage of time, hard work, and planning for the future.  See http://www.studentmotivation.org/ .

The value of the mentoring component is yet to be realized when the 10-year reunions start in November of 2014. The reunions will add to the cultural change. They may evolve into the largest single contributor to an ongoing, educationally focused, cultural change. The message former students bring back to decade younger students may become the most priceless factor in the improvement of our schools.

What would you do differently if you were 13 again?

This project starts with parents documenting their dreams for their children. This then helps their children, our students, to then focus on a more realistic future in a way that is easier to embrace, and change as needed. Such conversations need to be more common by parents and children.

3) Developmentally Appropriate Grade Configuration: change to k-8 schools
(Yes, close all middle schools!)

Debates over grade configurations surrounding middle school have gone on for as long as middle schools have existed. Research has now pushed that issue well beyond the debate stage.

A
July 2011 Harvard University study has emphasized the urgency of an improvement for our public schools that parents need to study. This detailed and extensive research concluded (page 23): "Taken as a whole, these results suggest that structural school transitions lower student achievement but that middle schools in particular have adverse consequences for American students." If parents agree, they must demand changes in grade configuration, especially here in Dallas due to the publicly acknowledged issues with our DISD middle schools.

The Harvard study showed that in virtually all subjects the scores on standardized test were lower in middle schools than in K-8 elementary schools. Parents and teachers familiar with both settings will rarely be surprised by these findings.

This past November a
powerful editorial was published by CNN giving a simple message: "By all accounts, middle schools are a weak link in the chain of public education."

The K-8 response to this "weak link" is gaining momentum. The number of  K-8 schools has almost doubled in the US since 2000 as over 1,000 middle schools have disappeared, or been re-purposed as K-8. Google news for K-8 and middle school.  You will find reports of school districts closing middle schools and changing them to K-8 elementary schools with very few exceptions. The reason is as simple as the statement a decade ago by William Moloney, then the Education Commissioner of Colorado: "K-8s are the place where everybody knows your name."

What better place to endure the uncertainties of puberty? Instead DISD is now forcing students entering the changes of puberty to move to a strange school with hundreds of other students from other schools also struggling to regain their self image as they change. It is no wonder that we have behavioral issues! Student performance then falls in DISD middle schools.

This past April the National Middle School Association changed its name to the
Association for Middle Level Education. They saw middle schools being closed in the US, and realized such separate institutions do not exist in the highest achieving school systems in the world, such as Finland. In such countries the elimination of the middle school transfer trauma appears to help in far exceeding US academic achievement while at the same time investing significantly fewer classroom hours. The name change reflected a more authentic focus on educating students ages 10 to 15. Will Texas public schools see what is happening? (See more links to articles on this issue here.)

Parents can study these factors and be the driving force behind helping DISD to slowly move to k-8 schools system wide That process has already happened in one school, Rosemont Elementary in DISD, which is leading the way. Parents studied the issues and demanded the change. More schools will follow as quickly as parents can study the issues and continue to demand the change.

Such change will also strengthen PTA memberships as parents will be with the same PTA for three more years. There will be more of an investment in each k-8 school. They must be the best schools for the sake of the neighborhood!

4) Visibility and open debate of research
 

DISD continues to reference selective research and supporting data in the changes they have been recommending for our schools, but that effort avoids much more research and data that point the other direction.  This must change.

When policy changes as large at TEI, the Teacher Excellence Initiative, are being designed and considered, there should be public meetings where the research pointing both ways can be presented and discussed.  It must be a public debate well beyond the level of 3x5 cards.
Currently even the Gates Foundation, on whose research much of TEI is based, is now recommending that any usage of testing of students in teacher evaluations be placed on hold.  Can DISD ignore that request?  A more public dialogue on the research is needed.

**************************************
As to costs for these four changes, only the one for a movement to k-8 configurations would involve significant costs due to potential building modifications. This k-8 change process could happen as quickly as parental groups form and request such changes.  It could be worked into the normal building budget for DISD. Also, since Dallas County has seen a constant drop in birth numbers since 2007 there may not be the normal pressure for building new schools.  Such k-8 transitions could happen more easily.  Otherwise, especially by ignoring patterns present in national research, DISD could lose millions of dollars in multiple areas in addition to the loss of potential student achievement.

These four ongoing changes within Dallas ISD, if accelerated and reinforced, will create a high preforming urban public school system, a national model!

Thursday, January 8, 2015

Superintendant's Monthly Report must have consistent, complete data on DISD performance.


Dallas needs a consistent set of monthly reports made during monthly board meetings using the same set of variables to expose changes within DISD.  Monthly changes must be known.  Once designed, these reports should also be completed going back to 2005 so that annual patterns over the last decade can be seen and used in the interpretation of current data.  How is DISD changing?

1) What are student turnover numbers?  How many are coming and going?  How are DISD demographic variables changing, such as the percentage in poverty? Where and why are students moving?  Which schools are different demographic groups attending?   What is the demographic profile, and school enrollment history, for applications and rejections for each of the magnet schools?

2) What is student achievement?  With all the testing there should be ongoing reports as to progress, problems, or gaps that should be reported on.  Demographic patterns, if there are any, should be exposed.

3) What are the teacher turnover numbers?  Resignations?  New hires?  Vacancies?  Why are teachers leaving DISD?  What is being said during separation surveys?

4) How many days each month do students spend with a teacher who is not certified in the subject being taught?  Where?  What is the profile of students most affected?

5) Most critically, how often is a teacher absent with no substitute teacher available to cover immediately at the start of the day?   How many hours does a class remain without a substitute teacher, having to be placed in another classroom or in a cafeteria or gym for supervision by other staff?   How many days each month does this happen?  How many children are affected?

Again, for each of the 5 areas above, is any geographic area within DISD, or demographic segment within DISD, more affected than another?  We all should know!
Monthly reports given during the "Superintendent's Report" should include the data to answer all these and many more questions. These printed reports should be available at each board meeting and also attached to each board meeting agenda as an attachment for the Superintendent's Report.

There should also be one additional monthly meeting at which the superintendent and trustees answer questions directly from the public about this data as well as other issues within DISD.  Times when questions directly from the public are answered have almost disappeared from DISD.

Public transparency by DISD must improve so that any improvement claimed by DISD will more easily be understood, and believed. 

Harrison School District 2 before, during, & after Mike Miles

This is only one piece of data, enrollment data, but hopefully it will help Dallas to see what happened in Harrison under Mike Miles.  High school enrollment was decimated.  Student attrition exploded.   High school enrollment is still down but is beginning to improve since he left.  

See 15 years of enrollment records below.


15 years of Harrison School District 2 enrollment
Click on above image to enlarge.

More details on the above data are at http://schoolarchiveproject.blogspot.com/2013/05/damage-by-mike-miles-in-colorado.html .

The Harrison enrollment data can be found on the Harrison School District 2 web site at http://www.hsd2.org/departments/student-services/statistics 

Tuesday, January 6, 2015

Dallas Home Rule Charter District Commission Progress Forgotten, 1-5-15

The repeated refrain during the 1-5-15 Commission meeting by too many commissioners that they did "not have enough information" about changing DISD into Dallas Home Rule Charter District to make a decision.  That is very troubling. 

How many of the Commissioners have studied the 102 page report given to them by members of the Our Children Our Schools Coalition?  Download that document at http://www.dfpe.org/pdf/Questions_on_Home_Rule_in_DISD_with_Election_Study_2014_STO.pdf .

It appears much of what has been said these past 7 months, and usually repeatedly, has been ignored.  It was not proven false, or corrected, just ignored.

Then there was a statement during the 1-5-15 meeting by one commissioner about the Dallas Achieves Commission which was frighteningly misleading and false.

They correctly stated that the Dallas Achieves Commission had 4 years and $20 million to do their work, but then incorrectly said they achieved "nothing." 

That statement demonstrated a lack of awareness of DISD graduation rate progress that started in 2007 as the Dallas Achieves Commission was beginning their third year, and then set annual graduation rate records for the next 6 years!   The $20 million donated for the work of Dallas Achieves was some of the best invested  money DISD ever managed!   The gain was worth many times that amount for Dallas!  

Here are a set of charts posted by Dallas ISD in 2012 that help show what happened.   This is the time period during which Dallas ISD was rated as one of the most improved urban districts in the nation!

The first chart below is for all DISD students covering the years 2007 through 2011. It shows Dallas ISD was improving at more than twice the rate of the rest of Texas!


Dallas ISD Completion Rates compared with Texas 2007-2011
(Right-click on above image and select "open link" to enlarge and/or print.)
What used to be a 13.4 percentage point difference between DISD and Texas in 2007  shrank to only a 4.4 percentage point difference in 2011. 

Below are more specific reports for the different population groups who make up DISD.

Dallas ISD Completion Rates for African-American Students 2007-2011
(Right-click on above image and select "open link" to enlarge and/or print.)


Dallas ISD Completion Rates for Hispanic Students 2007-2011
(Right-click on above image and select "open link" to enlarge and/or print.)
Mention must be made of the wonderful progress for our Limited English Proficiency students in Dallas ISD, reflected in the chart below.  The progress was so positive that DISD by 2011 was almost 5 percentage points better than the state of Texas!  DISD had much to celebrate in 2011!
Dallas ISD Completion Rates for LEP (Limited English Proficiency) students 2007-2011
(Right-click on above image and select "open link" to enlarge and/or print.)

Dallas ISD Completion Rates for Female Students 2007-2011
(Right-click on above image and select "open link" to enlarge and/or print.)
 
Dallas ISD Completion Rates for Male Students 2007-2011
(Right-click on above image and select "open link" to enlarge and/or print.)
Dallas had much to celebrate in 2011 with these reports, but the progress has now slowed down and probably stopped.  We must restore this level of improvement, of transparency!  (Copies of the above charts and more are still available online as on 3-15-14 at http://www.dallasisd.org/site/default.aspx?PageType=3&ModuleInstanceID=769&ViewID=047E6BE3-6D87-4130-8424-D8E4E9ED6C2A&RenderLoc=0&FlexDataID=14006&PageID=2704
Go to the bottom of that page for a link to a 12 page slide show with all of the above charts an a few additional one.)

The changes recommended by Dallas Achieves that appear to have led to this progress were solid:   https://www.dallasisd.org/cms/lib/TX01001475/Centricity/Domain/701/boardreport2008.pdf

Now the work of the Dallas Home Rule Charter District Commission must continue and hopefully eventually help to inspire the same level of improvement.   But the Commission is bogged down for the time being.  We must get beyond the same inertia that Trustees are now suffering from due to Mike Miles success in keeping current DISD performance and achievement information away from them.

The problem with the Commission is that not enough of them are confident from their studies of what is in front of them regarding home rule.  

The problem with DISD Trustees is that they cannot secure 5 votes on the DISD Board to demand current DISD monthly information intentionally denied them by the superintendent.

The next four months will be very difficult for DISD!


Sunday, January 4, 2015

Changes in Texas State funding of DFW area school districts

On 12-26-14 the Dallas Morning News published an article titled: "Texas Legislature unlikely to boost school funds in upcoming session."   That article included the per-pupil funding levels for many of the school districts surrounding the DFW area.   That data, in the first three columns below, was taken and several calculations done that lead to some critical questions:
 

The last column in the above chart shows the changes in per-pupil allocation from the state of Texas for each district listed.  Why did these changes happen?   More specifically, why did the average DFW district listed come out with $32 less per student in state funding that the rest of Texas during these years?  Why did Dallas ISD, with such high levels of poverty, come out with $334 less in funding per student?

Here is a 2013 document that should answer this question: http://www.tea.texas.gov/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=2147511834
It not simple.   I am working to understand it due to these unusual changes in funding that happened in the DFW area.

Saturday, January 3, 2015

DISD New Year’s Wish for 2015: Transparency

May Dallas ISD become increasingly transparent!

As is well documented during years of recorded DISD Board Meetings, the "Superintendent’s Reports " provided by Mike Miles contain little, if any, hard statistical data about what is happening to DISD students and the staff who serve them.  Due to that ongoing lack of data we must ask Trustees to have additional monthly evening meetings in the same auditorium for Dallas to receive and ask questions about the monthly changes in DISD student achievement.  

This meeting would be for residents who want to know exactly how DISD students are doing.  What is improving their achievement? What is making that achievement suffer?  How evenly distributed is that achievement among all population groups within DISD?   That data must be exposed.  Some of it is at www.dallasisd.us, but that is always old data.  We must know what is happening to our students as soon as the data is available.

The first thing to happen at this meeting would be a presentation by either DISD Administration or by the Trustees about the most recent student performance and staff turnover.  Mr. Miles could deliver it himself if he chose to begin openly sharing all data requested about student achievement and staff turnover.

The second part of the meeting would be a question and answer session with one minute questions allowed, answers given by DISD staff, and a one minute second question/clarification allowed by the original person with the question if their inquiry was not addressed. 

Time would have to be strictly followed with microphones turned off after each minute.   A dialogue would have to be encouraged within these boundaries in respect for the large number of the public who may have questions.  

Such question and answer sessions have disappeared from DISD.  That is part of the reason for the current achievement crisis being faced our Dallas schools.

Transparency must dominate 2015!  Residents must demand it!  Then actions can be taken based on the most accurate and well understood data possible.

Friday, January 2, 2015

Teacher evaluation in Dallas ISD going from bad to worse


“Teacher evaluation: going from bad to worse?” is a very thought provoking article in today’s Washington Post that describes what is happening in Dallas ISD.   It quotes ample research to make the case against using student tests in teacher evaluation.   See this article at http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/answer-sheet/wp/2015/01/01/teacher-evaluation-going-from-bad-to-worse/ .

The basic message from the article is:
“Most boards and superintendents understood that collegiality, not competition, is what is needed for schools to improve.”

Dallas ISD cannot continue to ignore the wealth of research related to teacher evaluation and improving student achievement.  Why have public debates of this research been avoided by current Dallas ISD leadership?

To build up justification for the TEI in Dallas ISD the DISD administration quoted the millions of dollars of research done by the Gates Foundation in the use of testing in the evaluation of teachers (http://www.dallasisd.org/Page/23362).  Then, DISD ignored the same Gates Foundation when that foundation recommended a delay in using tests for teacher evaluations!  See “Gates Foundation urges delay in using tests for teacher evaluation” at http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/education/gates-foundation-urges-delay-in-using-tests-for-teacher-evaluation/2014/06/10/d037c7fa-f0e1-11e3-914c-1fbd0614e2d4_story.html .

The parents must demand that Dallas ISD pay attention to the research studies that are linked to these and many other articles.  The amount of classroom time being stolen for teacher evaluation purposes is destroying student motivation.  The joy of learning must be restored!   Teacher evaluation should not demand this much of an investment from a school district, and from students!